Stocks Rally on Earnings
It was an inauspicious start to the week after a big-box retailer missed earnings and reduced forward guidance on Tuesday, sparking a broad market retreat.
But sentiment improved following mega-cap technology company earnings that proved better than expected. Enthusiasm gathered steam in the wake of the Fed’s 0.75% rate hike, boosted by Fed Chair Powell’s comments following Wednesday’s Federal Open Market Committee meeting. Powell indicated that it might become appropriate to slow the pace of future hikes, and he didn’t believe the economy had entered into recession. Stocks on Thursday shrugged off news of a second-consecutive quarter of negative economic growth to build on Wednesday’s gains as fresh earnings continued to comfort, if not impress, investors.4
4The Wall Street Journal, July 27, 2022
U.S. equities rose solidly last week with the S&P 500 Index returning +4.28%.
Domestically, smaller sized companies outperformed their larger counterparts as the Russell 2000 index increased +4.35% on the week.
International stocks rose, but less than domestic markets with MSCI EAFE up +2.11%.
Emerging market stocks were also positive with the MSCI EM index up +0.41%.
U.S. investment grade bonds also performed well as Bloomberg Barclays U.S. Aggregate Bond index was up +0.64% for the week.
DOWNGRADE – This Friday (8/05/2022) is the 11th anniversary of the day S&P downgraded the USA on 8/05/2011 from the top-rating that America had held for 70 years. The yield on the 10-year T-note was 2.57% on 8/05/2011. The yield on the 10-year T-note closed at 2.64% on Friday 7/29/2022 (source: Treasury Department).
HOME SELLING - When the pandemic started (January 2020), the median sales price of existing homes sold in the USA was $266,300. In June 2022, the median sales price of existing homes sold in the USA reached a record $416,000 (source: National Association of Realtors).
THIS WILL CHANGE IN THE FUTURE - 91% of the 128 million households in the USA own at least 1 car, SUV or light-duty truck, a total of 250 million vehicles. Surprisingly, electric cars and trucks make up just 2 million of the 250 million vehicles in our country today (source: Census Bureau).
SAVING FOR THE WINTER - The 27-nation European Union announced on 7/26/2022 that all member countries are to reduce their natural gas consumption by 15% over the 8 months that begin today, i.e., 8/01/2022 through 3/31/2023. The EU is concerned that Russian-supplied natural gas could end with little notice (source: EU).
Reprinted with permission from BTN. Copyright © 2022 Michael A. Higley.
 Data obtained from Bloomberg as of 7/29/2022
S&P 500: The S&P 500® is widely regarded as the best single gauge of large-cap U.S. equities and serves as the foundation for a wide range of investment products. The index includes 500 leading companies and captures approximately 80% coverage of available market capitalization.
NASDAQ: The NASDAQ Composite Index is a broad-based capitalization-weighted index of stocks in all three NASDAQ tiers: Global Select, Global Market and Capital Market. The index was developed with a base level of 100 as of February 5, 1971.
Dow Jones Industrial Average: The Dow Jones Industrial Average is a price-weighted average of 30 blue-chip stocks that are generally the leaders in their industry. It has been a widely followed indicator of the stock market since October 1, 1928.
Russell Mid-Cap: Russell Midcap Index measures the performance of the 800 smallest companies in the Russell 1000 Index, which represent approximately 25% of the total market capitalization of the Russell 1000 Index.
Russell 2000: The Russell 2000 Index is comprised of the smallest 2000 companies in the Russell 3000 Index, representing approximately 8% of the Russell 3000 total market capitalization. The real-time value is calculated with a base value of 135.00 as
MSCI EAFE: The MSCI EAFE Index is a free-float weighted equity index. The index was developed with a base value of 100 as of December 31, 1969. The MSCI EAFE region covers DM countries in Europe, Australasia, Israel, and the Far East.
MSCI EM: The MSCI EM (Emerging Markets) Index is a free-float weighted equity index that captures large and mid-cap representation across Emerging Markets (EM) countries. The index covers approximately 85% of the free float-adjusted market capitalization in each country.
Bloomberg Barclays US Agg Bond: The Bloomberg Barclays US Aggregate Bond Index is a broad-based flagship benchmark that measures the investment grade, US dollar-denominated, fixed-rate taxable bond market. The index includes Treasuries, government-related and corporate securities, MBS (agency fixed-rate pass-throughs), ABS and CMBS (agency and non-agency).
Bloomberg Barclays High Yield Corp: The Bloomberg Barclays US Corporate High Yield Bond Index measures the USD-denominated, high yield, fixed-rate corporate bond market. Securities are classified as high yield if the middle rating of Moody's, Fitch and S&P is Ba1/BB+/BB+ or below. Bonds from issuers with an emerging markets country of risk, based on Barclays EM country definition,
Bloomberg Barclays Global Agg: The Bloomberg Barclays Global Aggregate Index is a flagship measure of global investment grade debt from twenty-four local currency markets. This multi-currency benchmark includes treasury, government-related, corporate and securitized fixed-rate bonds from both developed and emerging markets issuers.
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